Message from Anid_007 17-Jan-2008

Hi,
Market lost the day gains, but our picks have move nicely, except few. Nice Move by ElectroSteel, ALPS showing strength as well.


Announcing Nuclear Soft as failed call(Breached the stoploss few days back, I did not notice that).

Nuclear Soft is really worrying me, I have holding in that. Let me wait for few more days before I exit.However you may exit, if yours stand is ST.

Answer to Query asked in comment of previous post:

Swan Mill is a Hold. You may extend your stand. A land sell is on the card in Kurla (Mumbai) by the Org as per unconfirmed news.


Bhushan Steel is a Hold. ST target revised to 1740.

Someone holding Kic Metaliks , I don't know why, when I already gave a profit booking call long ago after reaching ST target.

Megmani Org you should have booked profit in vicinity of 54 (which would be top, as I posted earlier--search the thread to find my post). Exit at 48 this time.

You may re-ask rest of the Queries in our own forum for better interaction :) I know you are not happy with the level of interaction in the Blog. So we have a dedicated forum for Anid_007.

Go And register at

anid.forumotion.com

As usual , call will be published here. And Discussion will be on that forum as we did in Traderji.

Have fun.


I appreciate once again all of those who took their time to let us know about the scrip they are watching and expecting to rock the year 2008.


Keep those disclosure coming in so that we can get a more robust portfolio for Anid_007_Portfolio_V2.

Repeated Text:

I am not going to give any new buy calls till Feb 08 Start.

Anid_007's Portfolio_2nd version will be published on 25th Jan 2008...and the subsequent buy call will be at suitable time.

The team 007 is working on it.

I am requesting all of you to post (in the comment section of this post) your favorite stocks which you feel that could be stock of the year on 2008. our team will look into those.

This time Anid_007's portfolio_V2 will be of the following levels:

25k, 50k, 1L, 2L, 5L or More.

Regards,
Anid_007

Message from Anid_007 16-Jan-2008

As the downslide continues, I know that the level of panic is increasing all around.

The silver lining of the day was the smart recovery of the market from 700+ pt downside and closing at a less frightening 19868.11

Now where we see the market from here?

Honestly todays downslide was mainly because of Panic selling, as no substantial negative cue came from domestic front. And as fer as the economical view from international front is concerned, that had not been supportive since last few months at all--so wt the big fuss now?

So, the bottomline is : no need to panic, stay calm, if required extend your holding time.


Now let me take some of the queries asked in the comment section of previous post.

Electrosteel made a smart recovery, it would been a sell call from me if it might have closed below our stoploss level of 80. So stay invested. dont sell now. you will get your buy level soon.

Alps Ind is a far more stronger share, safe to extend stand to MT/LT if you can.

SAIL is a not a share to sell if it take some beating. Its a golden scrip, stay invested.

ADANI is a big thing..hold till Dec 2008 with a stoploss of 850. Sky is the limit of profit.


Now the problem is with ST investors. ST investor are those who like to ride the boat during uptrend and get off quickly with handsome gain. So ST investors (3 months) may not like the way the scrip ALPS and ELECTROSTEEL have performed.

The actual problem is not with these scrips, but with the timing (you can not get it right all the time, unfortunately) . The day we picked those scrip, small cap and mid caps started mass downsliding. When a bit of recovery was seen, Large caps tumbled.

So nothing to blame to these two scrip specially. So you may quit( if you are a ST investor )when those scrips get a little more upside so that selling price comes near your buying price and minimise the loss.


Players of small scrip may find something interesting in the following link..dont buy blindly without checking the reason of downslide, Balance Sheet, Holding Pattern =>

http://www.moneycontrol.com/india/news/market-edge/stocks-that-lost-over-30their-highs/20/33/321170


I appreciate all of those who took their time to let us know about the scrip they are watching and expecting to rock the year 2008.

I would like to inform you, surprisingly enough some those scrip was same as those forwarded by myself to Team 007.

Keep those disclosure coming in so that we can get a more robust portfolio for Anid_007_Portfolio_V2.

Repeated Text:

I am not going to give any new buy calls till Feb 08 Start.

Anid_007's Portfolio_2nd version will be published on 25th Jan 2008...and the subsequent buy call will be at suitable time.

The team 007 is working on it.

I am requesting all of you to post (in the comment section of this post) your favorite stocks which you feel that could be stock of the year on 2008. our team will look into those.

This time Anid_007's portfolio_V2 will be of the following levels:

25k, 50k, 1L, 2L, 5L or More.

Regards,
Anid_007

Message from Anid_007 15-Jan-2008

Hi there,
I am really sorry that I have not been able to post since last couple of days. As the disaster continues in stock market, lets start with some positive news to uplift the mood.

Our old calls on Welspun Guj has reached its ST target today. Holder may extend there position till Jan08 end or book profit.


Texmaco also reached its revised ST target.

Now common question is : what should be done in present circumstance. Is the heavy profit booking today alarming? Well....I don't think so.


As far proper time to Book profit is concerned--it should start only after 20th Jan08 to Feb 1st week end. I expect a big crash in this phase. So ST traders must be very careful and think twice about keeping their position open if they can not extend their stands.


As far as my stand is concerned, I already sold of my holding of Texmaco today. I will gradually close all my position by this month end.

I am not going to give any new buy calls till Feb 08 Start.

Anid_007's Portfolio_2nd version will be published on 25th Jan 2008...and the subsequent buy call will be at suitable time.

The team 007 is working on it.

I am requesting all of you to post (in the comment section of this post) your favorite stocks which you feel that could be stock of the year on 2008. our team will look into those.

This time Anid_007's protfolio_v2 will be of the following levels:

25k, 50k, 1L, 2L, 5L or More.



Regards,
Anid_007.

Ans 2 Query - 12-Jan-2008

Hi All,
Let us start the query session for this week.

Hi Anid,

Good Morning!

Hope you are doing fine.

I have few question.

1. Hotel Leela- It went to 75 and now almost back to the level you recommended-67. Can I add some more quantity at this level again?

2. I have 1 MMTC bought @29500. Can I hold for long term or book profit?

Regards,

Hariprasad



MMTC- Book profit even if it goes high on long term. Too risky now.

Hotel Leela.. dont add now. You need to take a Midterm (MT: 6 month ) or Long term (LT: 1 year+) to get a handful profit.

Regd,
Anid



Hi Anid,
I would appreciate if you could let me know if it's
worth to enter in JaiCorp at CMP. Or should I wait
till first week of Feb as you suggested.

Thanks,
Mithoo


After the recent correction in last week, the stock has gone through some unwinding. One entering this stock at this level must keep in mind that Jai Corp, although is a very promising org, had appreciated a lot before the stock split happened. So anyone entering this stock should take a LT approach. you should not put more than 15% of your equity fund in this stock.

Hi Anid,
As you said in your Blog,I'm sending you my query on your MAIL account.
I'm holding ISPAT@70 300shares and BIHAR SPONGE @59 500shares...
So can you please tell me ,should I hold on to these two stocks.

Thanks,
Tarun


Take a MT to LT stand on this stock. You can add few more in lower price if market corrects in Feb 08 Mid . Immediate selling target should be 95+ atleast. The stock has good potential. I spotted the stock at 26 rs level, and also bought handful but lost patience and sold off. So prolong your holding time to get the benefit.

Hi dear
i have srf ltd. 60 @ 150. do u think it will reach 240 in 2 to 3 months or should i move out.

best wishes
--
Azeet Narayan


The mail I sent to you is:

"you may book profit by Jan end (at wtever High is there ) or on Target of 212 whenever you get that. Maintain a Stoploss of 175 throughout.

A more detail explanation will be published on Sunday.

Regd,
Anid_007"

So I believe you are already out of this stock. If not, then you can add few more at this or lower level, if correction continues.

Hi Anid,
i have been following ur blog since quite a long time, bt this is my first query to u. i hope i ll get ur advice.

i have some stocks which r given below.

Hotel Leela at 66.48 (200)

Ispat at 72 (100)

Sah Petroleum at 25.10 (200)

Core Projects at 277 (50)

Rel Petro at 214 (50)

NTPC at 164 (100)

can u suggest any changes in it?

Mostly Good picks, but some of the purchases were made in little expensive price [e.g- Ispat, Hotel Leela].

You need to take a MT (atleast, good if LT) stand on: Ispat, Hotel leela, Rel Petro, NTPC. No need to panic if market corrects, as those stock will gain there highs soon. Infact you can add few more of the same stock if you get in quite a lower price when market corrects.

Sah Petro is pretty much bottomed out, can add few more if market shows some stability on Monday.

Core Project, keep holding with a stoploss of 375 max. I believe you may see a uptrend by Wednesday latest, if not Monday. You may book profit in this by Jan 08 end--dont be too greedy. result is good , but P/E is terribly high.


That should be all for this week.

Thats should be all for this week.

Some useful Links:

• All Past Calls
• Most Rocking Calls
• Query @ Anid_007
• How to use this Blog
• Rules of Activities

Happy Earning ! ! !


Regards
Anid_007

Message from Anid_007 10-Jan-2008

Hi Guys,
What a day we had today!!!!!!! I rarely witnessed such landslide in mid and small cap where sensex and Nifty are still not crashing to gr8 level. It was totally unexpected.

The worst hit has been our last two calls: Alps Ind and Elec steel.

I am in pretty upset today, I really feel sorry if someone makes loss on my call.

Electrosteel Castings was more of a momentum call, which is murdered with surgical precision. The momentum is gone as of now, unless the midcap and small cap index does not make a turn around early next week.

Alps Lab I don't expect this one to be spared either where everything is being sold off. But this is a stronger stock compared to previous one. so not much worry here.

Let me answer some of the queries asked in the comment section of the previous post:

@ Sandee:
The reason of midcap crash linked to Rel Power IPO? To free cash by investor to put in IPO? Well I guess thats the only reason every Fund Managers I know are telling. But God only knows what is happening.

regarding Electrosteel:

Let me ask you first what the procedure you feel we are following for all the calls? Ofcourse we have proper criteria to filter a stock which takes care of Fundamentals, Technicals, Momentum Game, Greater fool theory, Support Resistance Break out-- almost everything possible, but unnecessarily all the filter got to be passed. I feel our procedure is doing good--at least the result in All Past Calls and Most Rocking Calls suggest same. So I don't feel like dumping our winning formula.

But I would like to know where from you got that result of Elecsteel (profit and loss). Would you please cross check the same in BSEINDIA's result site and get back to me?

The case of Electrosteel was more of a momentum call. I am quite sure that it will reach the target in ST. When market shows a thumbs down to Midcaps and Small caps without any discrimination , it is really tough for our stock with high P/E to hold on. The only worry for me is that recent downslide may push the stock beyond stoploss on Friday (and so closing the call with a 'failed' rating in the call history book) and later bouncing back and actually reaching target. Let us see.



@ Shrirang: As far as your query on Compact Disk is concerned, I shall say that I expected a LC today when I saw the murderous scene at 3-00 pm. You may place a sell call at level of 114 early tomorrow if you are panicked. I am holding.

@ Hari: yes you can exit Nucleus if you can not wait for ST term (3 months).

Stock To Discuss- 10-Jan-2008

Hi All,
This scrip is really looking good at current scenario:

Scrip Name: Alps Ind

Good Buy Level: 92 or below 95

Target: 114-130.

Stoploss: 80

* Stoploss [ It is a selling trigger in intraday trading, but here (for ST MT and LT investor) it means a caution level for the stock--downsliding below that level will force the stock to languish in lower level--so we may opt to quit if stock goes below stoploss by booking some nominal loss and freeing rest of the money--however if you can extend your stand from ST (3 months to MT (6 month) or LT (1 year)--then you may continue holding. Any stock failing to reach target and breaching stoploss, is marked with red at the All Past Calls link. Successful calls are marked in Green]


Target revised for Texmaco:

As we are almost done with Jan 2nd week and moving gradually towards Feb 08(when I expect a Major crash), I would like to close some of my old open calls, of course with Handful of Profit.

The First one to get a Revised target is Texmaco.

I am revising its Short Term Target t0 1850. The stock is facing very heavy resistence in 1900 level, we may exit this counter slowly booking profit.

Closing bell with Anid_007- 9 Jan 2008

Look at Alps Ind below 90. It is a very hot stock now.

Replying to comments on previous post:
Exide is a hold. No re -buy at Elect steel..just hold on.

Regards,
ANID_007