Thursday, January 17, 2008

Message from Anid_007 17-Jan-2008

Hi,
Market lost the day gains, but our picks have move nicely, except few. Nice Move by ElectroSteel, ALPS showing strength as well.


Announcing Nuclear Soft as failed call(Breached the stoploss few days back, I did not notice that).

Nuclear Soft is really worrying me, I have holding in that. Let me wait for few more days before I exit.However you may exit, if yours stand is ST.

Answer to Query asked in comment of previous post:

Swan Mill is a Hold. You may extend your stand. A land sell is on the card in Kurla (Mumbai) by the Org as per unconfirmed news.


Bhushan Steel is a Hold. ST target revised to 1740.

Someone holding Kic Metaliks , I don't know why, when I already gave a profit booking call long ago after reaching ST target.

Megmani Org you should have booked profit in vicinity of 54 (which would be top, as I posted earlier--search the thread to find my post). Exit at 48 this time.

You may re-ask rest of the Queries in our own forum for better interaction :) I know you are not happy with the level of interaction in the Blog. So we have a dedicated forum for Anid_007.

Go And register at

anid.forumotion.com




As usual , call will be published here. And Discussion will be on that forum as we did in Traderji.

Have fun.


I appreciate once again all of those who took their time to let us know about the scrip they are watching and expecting to rock the year 2008.


Keep those disclosure coming in so that we can get a more robust portfolio for Anid_007_Portfolio_V2.


Repeated Text:

I am not going to give any new buy calls till Feb 08 Start.

Anid_007's Portfolio_2nd version will be published on 25th Jan 2008...and the subsequent buy call will be at suitable time.

The team 007 is working on it.

I am requesting all of you to post (in the comment section of this post) your favorite stocks which you feel that could be stock of the year on 2008. our team will look into those.

This time Anid_007's portfolio_V2 will be of the following levels:

25k, 50k, 1L, 2L, 5L or More.

Regards,
Anid_007

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Message from Anid_007 16-Jan-2008

As the downslide continues, I know that the level of panic is increasing all around.

The silver lining of the day was the smart recovery of the market from 700+ pt downside and closing at a less frightening 19868.11

Now where we see the market from here?

Honestly todays downslide was mainly because of Panic selling, as no substantial negative cue came from domestic front. And as fer as the economical view from international front is concerned, that had not been supportive since last few months at all--so wt the big fuss now?

So, the bottomline is : no need to panic, stay calm, if required extend your holding time.


Now let me take some of the queries asked in the comment section of previous post.

Electrosteel made a smart recovery, it would been a sell call from me if it might have closed below our stoploss level of 80. So stay invested. dont sell now. you will get your buy level soon.

Alps Ind is a far more stronger share, safe to extend stand to MT/LT if you can.

SAIL is a not a share to sell if it take some beating. Its a golden scrip, stay invested.

ADANI is a big thing..hold till Dec 2008 with a stoploss of 850. Sky is the limit of profit.


Now the problem is with ST investors. ST investor are those who like to ride the boat during uptrend and get off quickly with handsome gain. So ST investors (3 months) may not like the way the scrip ALPS and ELECTROSTEEL have performed.

The actual problem is not with these scrips, but with the timing (you can not get it right all the time, unfortunately) . The day we picked those scrip, small cap and mid caps started mass downsliding. When a bit of recovery was seen, Large caps tumbled.

So nothing to blame to these two scrip specially. So you may quit( if you are a ST investor )when those scrips get a little more upside so that selling price comes near your buying price and minimise the loss.


Players of small scrip may find something interesting in the following link..dont buy blindly without checking the reason of downslide, Balance Sheet, Holding Pattern =>

http://www.moneycontrol.com/india/news/market-edge/stocks-that-lost-over-30their-highs/20/33/321170


I appreciate all of those who took their time to let us know about the scrip they are watching and expecting to rock the year 2008.

I would like to inform you, surprisingly enough some those scrip was same as those forwarded by myself to Team 007.


Keep those disclosure coming in so that we can get a more robust portfolio for Anid_007_Portfolio_V2.


Repeated Text:

I am not going to give any new buy calls till Feb 08 Start.

Anid_007's Portfolio_2nd version will be published on 25th Jan 2008...and the subsequent buy call will be at suitable time.

The team 007 is working on it.

I am requesting all of you to post (in the comment section of this post) your favorite stocks which you feel that could be stock of the year on 2008. our team will look into those.

This time Anid_007's portfolio_V2 will be of the following levels:

25k, 50k, 1L, 2L, 5L or More.

Regards,
Anid_007

Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Message from Anid_007 15-Jan-2008

Hi there,
I am really sorry that I have not been able to post since last couple of days. As the disaster continues in stock market, lets start with some positive news to uplift the mood.

Our old calls on Welspun Guj has reached its ST target today. Holder may extend there position till Jan08 end or book profit.


Texmaco also reached its revised ST target.

Now common question is : what should be done in present circumstance. Is the heavy profit booking today alarming? Well....I don't think so.


As far proper time to Book profit is concerned--it should start only after 20th Jan08 to Feb 1st week end. I expect a big crash in this phase. So ST traders must be very careful and think twice about keeping their position open if they can not extend their stands.


As far as my stand is concerned, I already sold of my holding of Texmaco today. I will gradually close all my position by this month end.

I am not going to give any new buy calls till Feb 08 Start.

Anid_007's Portfolio_2nd version will be published on 25th Jan 2008...and the subsequent buy call will be at suitable time.

The team 007 is working on it.

I am requesting all of you to post (in the comment section of this post) your favorite stocks which you feel that could be stock of the year on 2008. our team will look into those.

This time Anid_007's protfolio_v2 will be of the following levels:

25k, 50k, 1L, 2L, 5L or More.



Regards,
Anid_007.

Saturday, January 12, 2008

Ans 2 Query - 12-Jan-2008

Hi All,
Let us start the query session for this week.


Hi Anid,
Good Morning!
Hope you are doing fine.
I have few question.
1. Hotel Leela- It went to 75 and now almost back to the level you recommended-67. Can I add some more quantity at this level again?
2. I have 1 MMTC bought @29500. Can I hold for long term or book profit?
Regards,
Hariprasad



MMTC- Book profit even if it goes high on long term. Too risky now.

Hotel Leela.. dont add now. You need to take a Midterm (MT: 6 month ) or Long term (LT: 1 year+) to get a handful profit.

Regd,
Anid



Hi Anid,
I would appreciate if you could let me know if it's
worth to enter in JaiCorp at CMP. Or should I wait
till first week of Feb as you suggested.

Thanks,
Mithoo


After the recent correction in last week, the stock has gone through some unwinding. One entering this stock at this level must keep in mind that Jai Corp, although is a very promising org, had appreciated a lot before the stock split happened. So anyone entering this stock should take a LT approach. you should not put more than 15% of your equity fund in this stock.

Hi Anid,
As you said in your Blog,I'm sending you my query on your MAIL account.
I'm holding ISPAT@70 300shares and BIHAR SPONGE @59 500shares...
So can you please tell me ,should I hold on to these two stocks.

Thanks,
Tarun


Take a MT to LT stand on this stock. You can add few more in lower price if market corrects in Feb 08 Mid . Immediate selling target should be 95+ atleast. The stock has good potential. I spotted the stock at 26 rs level, and also bought handful but lost patience and sold off. So prolong your holding time to get the benefit.


Hi dear
i have srf ltd. 60 @ 150. do u think it will reach 240 in 2 to 3 months or should i move out.
best wishes
--
Azeet Narayan


The mail I sent to you is:

"you may book profit by Jan end (at wtever High is there ) or on Target of 212 whenever you get that. Maintain a Stoploss of 175 throughout.


A more detail explanation will be published on Sunday.

Regd,
Anid_007"

So I believe you are already out of this stock. If not, then you can add few more at this or lower level, if correction continues.


Hi Anid,
i have been following ur blog since quite a long time, bt this is my first query to u. i hope i ll get ur advice.
i have some stocks which r given below.
Hotel Leela at 66.48 (200)
Ispat at 72 (100)
Sah Petroleum at 25.10 (200)
Core Projects at 277 (50)
Rel Petro at 214 (50)
NTPC at 164 (100)
can u suggest any changes in it?


Mostly Good picks, but some of the purchases were made in little expensive price [e.g- Ispat, Hotel Leela].

You need to take a MT (atleast, good if LT) stand on: Ispat, Hotel leela, Rel Petro, NTPC. No need to panic if market corrects, as those stock will gain there highs soon. Infact you can add few more of the same stock if you get in quite a lower price when market corrects.

Sah Petro is pretty much bottomed out, can add few more if market shows some stability on Monday.

Core Project, keep holding with a stoploss of 375 max. I believe you may see a uptrend by Wednesday latest, if not Monday. You may book profit in this by Jan 08 end--dont be too greedy. result is good , but P/E is terribly high.


That should be all for this week.

Thats should be all for this week.

Some useful Links:


Happy Earning ! ! !



Regards
Anid_007

Thursday, January 10, 2008

Message from Anid_007 10-Jan-2008

Hi Guys,
What a day we had today!!!!!!! I rarely witnessed such landslide in mid and small cap where sensex and Nifty are still not crashing to gr8 level. It was totally unexpected.

The worst hit has been our last two calls: Alps Ind and Elec steel.

I am in pretty upset today, I really feel sorry if someone makes loss on my call.

Electrosteel Castings was more of a momentum call, which is murdered with surgical precision. The momentum is gone as of now, unless the midcap and small cap index does not make a turn around early next week.

Alps Lab I don't expect this one to be spared either where everything is being sold off. But this is a stronger stock compared to previous one. so not much worry here.

Let me answer some of the queries asked in the comment section of the previous post:

@ Sandee:
The reason of midcap crash linked to Rel Power IPO? To free cash by investor to put in IPO? Well I guess thats the only reason every Fund Managers I know are telling. But God only knows what is happening.

regarding Electrosteel:

Let me ask you first what the procedure you feel we are following for all the calls? Ofcourse we have proper criteria to filter a stock which takes care of Fundamentals, Technicals, Momentum Game, Greater fool theory, Support Resistance Break out-- almost everything possible, but unnecessarily all the filter got to be passed. I feel our procedure is doing good--at least the result in All Past Calls and Most Rocking Calls suggest same. So I don't feel like dumping our winning formula.

But I would like to know where from you got that result of Elecsteel (profit and loss). Would you please cross check the same in BSEINDIA's result site and get back to me?

The case of Electrosteel was more of a momentum call. I am quite sure that it will reach the target in ST. When market shows a thumbs down to Midcaps and Small caps without any discrimination , it is really tough for our stock with high P/E to hold on. The only worry for me is that recent downslide may push the stock beyond stoploss on Friday (and so closing the call with a 'failed' rating in the call history book) and later bouncing back and actually reaching target. Let us see.



@ Shrirang: As far as your query on Compact Disk is concerned, I shall say that I expected a LC today when I saw the murderous scene at 3-00 pm. You may place a sell call at level of 114 early tomorrow if you are panicked. I am holding.

@ Hari: yes you can exit Nucleus if you can not wait for ST term (3 months).

Wednesday, January 9, 2008

Stock To Discuss- 10-Jan-2008

Hi All,
This scrip is really looking good at current scenario:

Scrip Name: Alps Ind

Good Buy Level: 92 or below 95

Target: 114-130.

Stoploss: 80

* Stoploss [ It is a selling trigger in intraday trading, but here (for ST MT and LT investor) it means a caution level for the stock--downsliding below that level will force the stock to languish in lower level--so we may opt to quit if stock goes below stoploss by booking some nominal loss and freeing rest of the money--however if you can extend your stand from ST (3 months to MT (6 month) or LT (1 year)--then you may continue holding. Any stock failing to reach target and breaching stoploss, is marked with red at the All Past Calls link. Successful calls are marked in Green]


Target revised for Texmaco:

As we are almost done with Jan 2nd week and moving gradually towards Feb 08(when I expect a Major crash), I would like to close some of my old open calls, of course with Handful of Profit.

The First one to get a Revised target is Texmaco.

I am revising its Short Term Target t0 1850. The stock is facing very heavy resistence in 1900 level, we may exit this counter slowly booking profit.

Closing bell with Anid_007- 9 Jan 2008

Look at Alps Ind below 90. It is a very hot stock now.

Replying to comments on previous post:
Exide is a hold. No re -buy at Elect steel..just hold on.

Regards,
ANID_007

Tuesday, January 8, 2008

Message from Anid_007 8th Jan 2008

Hi All,
Today we witnessed bloodshed all around in the circuit breaker stocks. Rel Infra, Walchandnagar, Gremach Infra (Old call, we booked profit yesterday only--were lucky enough), STC, Energy Dev all had a tough day.

However the strength shown by Jai corp,Deccan gold is encouraging. Let see what will be the trend tomorrow.

Our yesterdays' call on Compact Disk has done well today. I have been able to enter in discounted price let noon. Anid_007's portfolio is updated.

I dont see any reason to fear this Jan as it is the month of result.

If you have free cash, don't pick stocks blindly. Only buy stocks which are in momentum. Get some profit and offload your scrips by Feb 1st Week if you are ST player.Go for shopping after the expected correction in Feb.

Correct timing and Correct Pick will be the key this first half. We are going to have a very unforgiving market this year provided the high the level of index is retained.

Have patience.

Happy Earning!!!



Regards,
Anid_007

Monday, January 7, 2008

Stock to Discuss-08-Jan-2008

Hi Guys,
how r you all doing? Today one more of our stock reached its ST target: Gremach Infra in style by hitting UC of 10%. Hope you all have booked Good profit.

I saw many of you are asking queries in the comment of a post itself for stocks. I will suggest you all you follow the rule of the blog and ask query as per the steps suggested in Query @ Anid_007

Anyways, let us pick a stock for 8-Jan-2007:

Scrip Name: Compact Disk

Buy level: 87.15 or below 94

ST Target: 130 and a MT target of 175-230

Stoploss: 72

Risk: High

Suggestion: Don't jump in blindly 2moro, if you see some downtrend hold your bucks and find a more discounted entry point.

Happy Earning!!! :)

Regards,
Anid_007

Sunday, January 6, 2008

Message from Anid_007 6th Jan 2008

Hi,
Tomorrow our pick of Gremach Infra will reach our ST target. Get out of this stock if your stand is short term.

The upper circuit may continue for few more days but if you have entered in our prescribed level of approx 345, you must be booking good profit tomorrow. Don't be more greedy.

I personally hold this stock and will sell it off tomorrow. If you have invested in this stock you may also exit or keep on holding--choice is yours.

By the updated Anid_007 Portfolio is loaded at Anid_007's Portfolio



Regrads,
Anid_007

Saturday, January 5, 2008

Ans 2 Query - 06-Jan-2008

Hi Guys,
Let us begin the query session for this week.

Hello Anid,

Need your expertise to invest 1 Lakh.

Based on your advice I have already invested:(though a bit late...since funds were available a bit late)

25 GEMINI @ 271 = 6775
25 Punj Lloyd @ 562.7 = 14068
100 Lanco @ 86.75 = 8675
20 GNFC @ 225.35 = 4507
100 Spentex @ 41.13 = 4113
Other than your advice:
100 KS oil @ 106.70 = 10670

TOTAL = 48808

What do you suggest for the remaining 50K.
I already have
1000 Bellary Steel @ 4.31
100 RNRL @ 110
70 RPL @ 261


Thanks a lot for your precious time.

Best Regards,
Naren


I am quoting your statement "Based on your advise"--do you really think you are following that??

You are buying the shares at too high price, well above my reco price. I don't like such actions.

Read the very 1st Rules, before you follow any of my adivice:



Book profit in Gemini,Punj LLoyd, Lanco Ind, Spentex asap.

You may book profit in Bellary Steel also. being too greedy may not help. You are already earning a profit of 350% in that.

RNRL is a hold.



HI anid,

i have 100 RPL @ 220, any ST Targets?

Regards
Sr!


If it breaks the level of 252 in near term look for a level of 280-295 in ST.


Hi Anid

Wishing you happy and prosperous new year ahead.

I am holding 200 share of wipro @ Rs 525, what could be the short term target
for 1 month. Current price as on 02/01/08 is Rs 505.

Thanks
Goldy

If you stand in short term, you should get out of this stock by Jan 08 End.

Hi Anid,
My sincere thanks to you and your team for the fantastic calls...really appreciate you sharing the fruit of your efforts online with all of us.
I have a query about Exide which I bought @74. Do you see it moving up in the short term? Would appreciate your views on it. Thanks again and best wishes!
Regards,
Cherian

Look for a Target of 86 or above by Jan 08 End.


Anid,
I bought NagarFert 2000 shares @ 88 expecting a breakout to make quick bugs (Greed i put all my money in one script), but it came down now making a loss 10000+ now and i'm afraid of losing capital (Fear)(I already lost 40%) of my investment. Can you guide me to what to do in next few days.

Hope i followed the quidelines. I'm month old in share market and i know i'm making stupid mistakes like putting money on one script. but i'm learning and started to have some discipline.

Thanks
Vallabai


Keeping all the eggs in one basket is always a big problem. You should have diversified your fund. The Fert Bond is expected to issued before budget--a possible positive trigger, but if you dont get a good sell level before before Feb 08 Mid then it could be in Big mess as I am expecting a crash in Feb Mid.

Get out if you get any new high by Jan 08 end.


hi Dear
i have been reading ur calls on traderji where u were really rocking
and here also i c the trend continuing
i have picked this script Murdeshwar Ceramics Ltd (MURCER) and ordered 150 shares at 140
where do u c its future ?

Azeet Narayan

Not tracking this one. Sorry.

Dear Anid Ji


I bought Teledata informatics @ 76, What is the ST trgt
Can i Hold?


Thnk u v much sir


Not Tracking

Thats should be all for this week.

Some useful Links:


Happy Earning ! ! !



Regards
Anid_007

Wednesday, January 2, 2008

Message From Anid_007 03-Dec-2007

Hi Guys,
As it already became a trend I am not going to hype this news anymore. Today 2 more of my picks reached the targets: Punj LLoyd and Kic Metaliks

Some useful Links:


Happy Earning ! ! !

Regards,
Anid_007

Stock to Discuss 03-Jan-08

Hi Guys,

I hope you are doing great. I am happy to see the bull run of stocks in almost all the sectors.
Today one more of our stock reached the ST Target - Lanco ind.

In last 3 days we have at least one stock reaching its target daily. Thats really very very encouraging.
I am also wrapping up Tomorrows calls here.

Scrip Name:
Electrosteel Castings

CMP: 98.65
ST Target: 145-150.
Stoploss: 80






In this same post let me answer some of the queries asked in the comments on previous post.

1. Megmani Org appears to be a great multi-bagger call by my team. I gave the call on Traderji sometime in Nov07 for ST that is for 3 months at level of 32 I guess. Now its 46.1 returning more than 40%. I will suggest to extend your stand with a stop loss of 40. look for a level of 54.

2. The call on ABG shipyard and Dish TV is still valid and should reach the target predicted by us in that 'All past call' link.

Disclaimer